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Recaps 26     Recaps

Past Daily Activities:
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 Click here for previous Past Daily Activities (RECAPS 25)


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10/2/99 Saturday                   We are UP 243 % this year!
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It is time again to say goodbye to some Free Trial Toadsters who will drop off the list this weekend - and they will be "Toadless" if they don't subscribe.     See the rest of you here by the pond Monday morning.

10/1/99 Evening         OEX   -2.06
We are holding over for the weekend - first time in awhile (it's a little chilly here in the pond.)IN the pond!
Think DOWN thoughts this weekend.
Toad Update 10/1/99 #3 15:11 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Still holding the Oct 670 puts (OEYVN) that we hopped into at $14. Should have hopped out with $1 when we could - hmmm.
Will hold onto them and see what happens up to market close - might consider getting out at $14 - if we can.
Right now the position is down, but with this market we are probably OK.
Toad Update 10/1/99 #1 13:43 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

I was just composing justification for not hopping and... well.... we hopped into 5 contracts of the Oct 670 puts (OEYVN - again) at $14.
Might just go for a buck and out. Will let you know when we hop out.
Toad Update 10/1/99 #1 12:37 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Chased the Oct 670 puts (OEYVN - again!) and didn't get them at 13, now we've pulled the order and we are still watching.
Will let you know when we hop.
10/1/99 9:30
Happy October - Happy October - enjoy your bagels and stay tuned...
9/30/99 Evening         OEX  +8.64
The Oct 670 calls that we didn't buy closed at 14 3/4 today. Looking back over the last two days - it's nice to be on the sidelines.
Let's have some bagels in the morning. Click hereclick here
Toad Update 9/30/99 #2 15:46 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

OK, we didn't bite on the "Bull Trap" today. We were looking at calls... but (insert broken record here) the signals said stay out for now... ribbitt.
Our entry into the Oct 670 calls (OEYJN) would have been at 16 1/2 and they touched 17 then dropped to 16.
Good Toad, good signals. Looks like that's it for September.
Toad Update 9/30/99 #1 12:14 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Looks like another lunch we can eat in peace.
Can't see one I'd like to be in yet - when it gets interesting, I look at the market on a 5 minute chart and realize it's not going anywhere. Trin is ..95 - yawn.
Good eating and good trading.
9/30/99 9:30
This is the last day of September and the last day of the quarter. More indicators came out today that we might not see interest rates raised - looking for an up market at open and then....     stay tuned.
9/29/99 Evening         OEX   -11.73
Mixed signals today and the rally failed... OK, OK, it wasn't really a "rally" - but even if we woulda hopped into puts, we'd be holding over.
Bad things can happen when we are in the pond overnight,   Bad things man.   glad we are not... see you in the morning.
Toad Update 9/29/99 #3 16:18 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Just wanted to say.... urp.
It didn't charge UP like someone thought it would... urp.
BUT our entry point on the puts we woulda hopped into (Oct 670 puts OEYVN - again!) was 15 1/2 and they only hit a high of 16 - so we woulda been holding over! Not good.
Still FLAT and happy.
Toad Update 9/29/99 #2 15:54 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Hold me back before I hop again.... REALLY wanted to hop in on that last surge downward... BUT it is late in the day and the A/D still says it's going to go UP, the TICK says not yet, the Trin says I'm a thinking about going down and... and... and... I'm not gonna do it...
Think it's going to bounce back up.     HEY, guess what just happened - it's starting to bounce back up.
Just a little FLAT toad.
Toad Update 9/29/99 #1 13:09 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Thought it was going down, up, then down and... well, you know the story - signals say WATCH the pond. Going to eat some lunch and keep watching.
Nothing to blame on the lunch-time crowd today.
9/29/99 9:30
Durable Goods numbers are in and shouldn't have much of an impact on Fed thinking. It's still a will-they-won't-they situation.
May still see selling today. Stay tuned...
9/28/99 Evening         OEX   -0.05
Let me repeat myself: WOW! That was a classic BEAR TRAP. This little green Toad was really happy he hopped out of the pond before that one hit... see you in the morning.
Toad Update 9/28/99 #4 15:56 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Wow - who woulda thought. Guess buy and hold is out for the Toadsters.
Our puts are now running 10 X 10 1/2 - they ran up to $18 3/4 today.   Flat and happy Toad.
Toad Update 9/28/99 #3 13:56 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

I THINK Mrs. Toad just said: "You should have held and not sold so early." But I couldn't really hear her for all of MY screaming at the market.
I think it was the lunch bunch today that got me. RIGHT AFTER LUNCH - our puts (that we sold already) hit 18 3/4 - - - RIBBITT!     Well, we made some green and we are happy.
We updated TOAD TALK last night and you can hear it at ABS Live:     http://www.abslive.com/mainabs.html     or on our site:     Toad Talk
Toad Update 9/28/99 #2 12:48 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

We hopped out of the Oct 670 puts (OEYVN) at 15 3/4.
Sweated it out earlier when it hit 16 1/4 and felt we shoulda hopped out sooner. I kept hearing this voice that said "GET OUT" and this time it wasn't Mrs. Toad - it was me. (Hmmmmm... thinks he's a Toad and talks to himself - I like this guy!)
Will let you know when we hop again.
Toad Update 9/28/99 #1 11:20 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Just hopped into 10 contracts of the Oct 670 puts (OEYVN) at 14 3/4.   Will let you know when we hop out.
9/28/99 9:30
Finally a sunny day by the pond. Even the ducks look water-logged.
We're feeling brighter too. We're here watching...
9/27/99 Evening         OEX   +2.71
Toad Talk© has been updated. Listen to a Toad.
Toad Update 9/27/99 #3 16:30 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

With the indicators the way they were, we were very content to sit by the pond today.   Looked at some puts - but not seriously enough to talk about it.
Getting over our slump....   will probably update Toad Talk tonight. See you in the morning.
Toad Update 9/27/99 #2 14:36 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

We are not going to quit watching today, but it sure feels like we are stuck in a trading range. Mired down in the mud by the side of the pond.
Must have been all that rain at the Jaguars game yesterday.   Oops, not gonna mention our loss..........
Toad Update 9/27/99 #1 11:34 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Still watching this market - who woulda thought this was going to happen today.   Abby Joseph says the market is going UP in the next two months.
Stay tuned, we are by the pond watching.
9/27/99 9:30
GLOBEX says we are due for a pop up on open - can we sustain a rally? Stay tuned...
9/26/99 Sunday Night
Jaguars     NOT gonna talk about the Jaguars game - still trying to get over the loss.
9/25/99 Saturday                   We are UP 239 % this year!
Subscribe today, don't be Toadless!  Click here to subscribe!
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Some Free Trial Toadsters will drop off the list this weekend - and they will be "Toadless" if they don't subscribe. See the rest of you here at the pond Monday morning. Watch the Jaguars tomorrow!

9/24/99 Evening         OEX   -1.43
Interesting reading - a Toadster sent us this (click here to read.)     Have a great weekend.
Toad Update 9/24/99 #4 15:22 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

OK, it can run up to $30 now. We just hopped out of the 5 contracts of the Oct 670 puts (OEYVN) at 17 1/2.
We had our sell set at $19 when they were hitting 18 3/4 - oops.
Toad Update 9/24/99 #3 14:44 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

We just hopped into 5 contracts of the Oct 670 puts (OEYVN) at 16.    Will let you know when we hop out - will probably be a QUICK RIDE.
Toad Update 9/24/99 #2 14:09 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Did you see what we posted on the site at 9:30 this morning?     It was a link to something else on our site.... remember it's Friday.
Toad Update 9/24/99 #1 13:12 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Here we are eating bagels and embarrassed again. Looked long and hard at the Oct 670 puts (OEYVN) and just couldn't pull the trigger (oops, hit the mouse.) Were considering them around 19, they ran up to $19 1/2 and the A/D and other indicators didn't convince me. So, we are still flat and watching.
Oh, the 670 puts are 16 1/4 X 16 3/4 right now.... I'll be regretting this when they hit $30 today!
9/24/99 9:30
Good morning - it's Friday, take a look at this (click here.) Stay tuned.
9/23/99 Evening         OEX   -16.59
Quite a day, SCW held onto all 10 contracts - someone doubted the Toad today and hopped out of 1/2 their position - WHO DID IT?        Oh, er... nevermind.
See you here in the morning. I brought them last week - so it's YOUR TURN to bring the bagels! I know it's YOUR turn to bring the Bagels!
Toad Update 9/23/99 #4 16:00 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

TOAD +something did real well today, our puts hit $25 after we got out.....
What a day, and Mrs. Toad isn't here today - think she woulda said, "Naaaah, stay in and hold overnight."???   NO WAY.
See you for bagels in the morning.
Toad Update 9/23/99 #3 15:33 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

I'm happy, but blushing, and well....   We just hopped out of the remaining 5 contracts of the Oct 690 puts (OEYVR) at 20 1/2.
Whew... we are FLAT.
Toad Update 9/23/99 #2 12:56 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Just hopped out of 5 contracts of the Oct 690 puts (OEYVR) at 14 1/2.
Holding onto the other 5 contracts - still expect the market to go back down today - just cutting our exposure by 1/2.
A/D still on our side.
Toad Update 9/23/99 #1 11:23 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

The prez just vetoed the tax cut bill.
We just hopped into 10 contracts of the Oct 690 puts (OEYVR) at 16 1/2. Looked real hard at them awhile ago at 16!
WIll let you know when we hop out.
9/23/99 9:30
Looks like there might be some buying at open, a little hop up.
Cooler by the pond this morning, on time.     Happy Autumn.
Stay tuned...
9/22/99 Evening         OEX   +1.39
Agree with Drew today, he said "Another day where it was hard catching a trend." Got that right!
See you by the pond in the morning.
Toad Update 9/22/99 #2 15:44 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Mixed market, partial recovery, persistent weakness, all words that keep a toad sitting by the pond, until tomorrow.
Mrs. Toad says she's proud of me for getting through all the temptations.
Toad Update 9/22/99 #1 12:42 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Another day to watch closely. With all the analysts talking about support levels, they just may affect thinking. Early rally didn't happen but ...
We're watching . . . cautiously.
9/22/99 9:30
Looks like we might see a little pop up after open and analysts are expecting a mild rally today. We were getting close to testing the lower limits so a mild rally will make a lot of people happy.
Oh, and there is a Fed meeting...

We are just little green toads... we'll keep an eye on things.
9/21/99 Evening         OEX -15.10
Where, oh where was the 3:00 rally? Was close to having "back up" signals three times today - so really expected to see a rally at 3:00 today - looked like we had the start around 3:30... geez. Just heard on the news - most everyone else expected the same; right with the wrong crowd (or is that wrong with the right crowd?) See you in the morning.
Toad Update 9/21/99 #2 16:02 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Waited and watched and never saw the alignment we needed to hop. Think the heavy winds by the pond kept my signals flapping in the breeze.
See you in the morning.
Toad Update 9/21/99 #1 12:24 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

After the opening drop, we were expecting more activity than recently. Well, we've had a little more activity, but our indicators don't make us feel much like hopping yet.
Still watching things, including the weather...
9/21/99 9:30
Expecting a drop at the open and maybe more activity today.
Let's see how it goes...
9/20/99 Evening         OEX -0.04
Repeat what we said earlier today - holiday brought light trading and   S   L   O   W     market.   See you in the morning...
Toad Update 9/20/99 #2 15:46 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Mrs. Toad wanted to break out the California wine early this afternoon because I was so b o r e d with the market. I said "NO WAY- I'm gonna wait until at least 3:00."
So, have a nice evening - we are toasting with a fine Viansa Sangiovese, which was NOT covered by the WSJ on Friday - their loss.
Gotta get back to California....
Toad Update 9/20/99 #1 11:04 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Looks like a pretty slow day so far.
We updated Toad Talk today so if you need something to do, you can listen to that.     Ribbitt.
9/20/98 9:30 Looks like a light trading day because of the holiday, stay tuned...
9/19/99 Sunday Evening
    1) Yes, the Jaguars WON today.     Jaguars     Jaguars 22 - Carolina 20
    2) Yes, Subscribe today, don't be Toadless! some "free trial" toadsters will drop off the list tonight. They will be "Toadless" if they don't subscribe.

    3) Yes, we made some money this week:         We are UP 232 % this year!

Hope you had a great weekend - see you in the morning.
9/19/99 Sunday         OEX +10.07
We didn't even check the market until last night - what happened on OEF?

Speculation is that traders were correcting their shorts and HAD to buy on OEF.   (I could go for the cheap joke, but I'm fighting it!)     SO, the market went UP and stayed up on OEF!     STILL glad we took OFF!

        Jaguars     Jaguars playing in Carolina today - at 1:00. Stay tuned...
9/17/99 Afternoon                   We are UP 232 % this year!     ... and we are STILL off on OEF!
Toad OEF Update 9/17/99 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

OK, so I'm hanging around and just glancing at the market occasionally.
Still NOT gonna trade today - bad things can happen on OEF.     Have a bagel on us. I will probably go out to lunch with Mrs. Toad.
9/17/99 10:00
        Off today!        We are OFF today!     This is OEF, the pond is dangerous today AND you are Toadless...
9/16/99 Evening         OEX +1.08
Not a bad ride today, considering how the OEX finished UP for the day. We will check in at market open and then take off the rest of Friday.
Tempted to trade on *OEF?     DON'T DO IT!     Read this instead...    Options Expiration Friday!

        Don't forget tomorrow is     Cyber Bagels courtesy of Bagels for All   Bagel day!

  *OEF = Options Expiration Friday       OEW = Options Expiration Week       OWW = Hurt my thumb
Toad Update 9/16/99 #3 12:43 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Just looked at a chart of today's option (Sept 695 puts) and TOAD +15 would get you $12 - hmmm...
Going down now, who knows what's going to happen the rest of today? Hey, I do. We are NOT going to trade anymore today, probably start the after-Floyd cleanup around the pond.
Tomorrow is OEF (Options Expiration Friday) and we WON'T trade that day & suggest you do likewise. Check out our site.
Toad Update 9/16/99 #2 12:01 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Just hopped out of the Sept. 695 puts (OEYUS) at 10 3/4.
Will let you know when we hop again.
Toad Update 9/16/99 #1 11:35 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Just hopped into 10 contracts of the Sept 695 puts (OEYUS) at 8, missed them at 7 3/4.
Will probably only try to get a buck from this one.
9/16/99 9:30
Who knows what is going to happen today? Those three witches plus Hurricane Floyd is now headed to NYC. Some talk of the market closing early today because of the storm. Stay tuned...
9/15/99 Evening         OEX -10.99
THAT'S what's causing market problems this week...     those triple witches...

Toad Update 9/15/99 #3 15:46 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

OK, I DID IT. I'm responsible for that strong downward move... I did just say - "...feels like strong support at 699."

Make a liar out of a small green Toad, it's just not fair.
I'm going outside to watch the last of Hurricane Floyd. If you live in the Carolina's - good luck tonight.
Toad Update 9/15/99 #2 15:31 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Guess that was the best move - staying out.
No way could we catch the first wave this morning and then it looked better around 10:45 when we did consider the 710 puts (remember them? we traded them twice this cycle.) Looked at them around 10 1/2.
They ran up to 11 3/4 X 12 but that was it....
This market has a strange response to everything - feels like strong support at 699.

Flat and windy.
Toad Update 9/15/99 #1 11:16 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Wow, from UP over 100 points to DOWN 30 points???
Hold on, we are still watching the pond.
By the way, yesterday's puts were $3 on open today, we were really happy we hopped out yesterday.... er.... they hit a high of 8 1/2 today... er.... er..... er...........
9/15/99 9:30
Good morning, we are here - watching the pond. The weaker than expected CPI core rate will give us a strong opening - great reason for dumping those puts yesterday! Stay tuned...
9/14/99 Evening         OEX -3.96
As we said earlier, we Shoulda Coulda Woulda hopped out of those 705 puts at 7 3/4. Didn't really consider it as we thought the market would stay with us and we could get our 8 1/4.
Hurricane Floyd approaches the pond! Hurricane Floyd (Click here for info.) might just pass close by us instead of hitting the pond. Parts of town were evacuated today and the evacuation orders didn't include us. Our mayor announced tonight that IF Floyd continues on the current path, we should be OK. Projecting winds of 50 mph gusting to 75 most of the day tomorrow and we might lose phones and/or power.
SO, we expect to be here at the pond in the morning, see you then...
Toad Update 9/14/99 #5 15:39 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Yes, I know. The Sept 705 puts (OEZUA) hit $7 just awhile ago.
Oops, we are out. SCW, SCW - I saw the conditions/indicators going against us and wanted to be outta the pond.
SO, we are FLAT and the market will probably TANK big time.
Toad Update 9/14/99 #4 14:21 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

I'm outta the Sept 705 puts (OEZUA) at 6 1/4. Sorta like kissing your sister - (sorry sis.)
SCW hopped out at 7 3/4 earlier today.
Toad Update 9/14/99 #3 13:34 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Lowering our sell to 7 1/4 doesn't make much sense now. SCW hopped out when they hit 7 3/4.
We are still holding and watching closely, will try and get something out of these. Thought the lunch-time crowd was hurting us and we would go back to a rapid drop after lunch. - DIDN'T happen. Can't trust that lunch-bunch.
Will let you know when we hop. Why are we still in? The A/D line gives us hope.
Toad Update 9/14/99 #2 11:48 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Mrs. Toad just said: "You did WHAT? Aren't you watching the weather channel?"
Er, yes - we have a hurricane headed this way, but gee - the market is dropping..... looked like time for a PUT.
Still holding the Sept 705 puts, will let you know when the hurricane hits or when we hop out.
Toad Update 9/14/99 #1 11:00 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

We just hopped into 10 contracts of the Sept 705 puts (OEZUA) at 6 1/4.
Will let you know when we hop out.
9/14/99 9:30
Good morning, we are under a Hurricane Warning here at the pond. Watching CNBC and the Weather Channel this morning. Stay tuned...
9/13/99 Evening         OEX -4.03
Not much to say about today's market. Let's look for something in the morning and hope the hurricane misses the pond! See you here in the morning.
Toad Update 9/13/99 #2 16:02 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Well, we updated Toad Talk today and .... waited for the hurricane.... and watched the     m   a   r   k   e   t.     Needed my coffee today.... the 710 puts opened at 6 and will probably close around 6....
Let's meet here in the morning and maybe we can get something moving then.
Go listen to Toad Talk.
9/13/99 14:30
Toad Talk© has been updated. Listen to a Toad.
Toad Update 9/13/99 #1 12:16 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Yes, we looked at the 710 puts again... but didn't hop. Don't like the signals yet.
Keeping an eye on the market and Hurricane Floyd. Looks like it might be headed toward the pond.
9/13/99 9:30
Mrs. Toad and I are both hoarse from cheering at the game last night; oh, the market, looks like we are headed DOWN on open. Stay tuned...
9/12/99 NFL Update
Jaguars     Jaguars 41 - San Francisco 3

9/12/99 Sunday                   We are UP 220 % this year!
Subscribe today, don't be Toadless!  Click here to subscribe!
Click here
There are some Free Trial Toadsters who will drop off the list today - and they will be "Toadless" if they don't subscribe. See the rest of you here by the pond Monday morning.

9/10/99 Evening         OEX +2.98
Thanks for the explanations about the "W" for Mrs. Toad (she didn't believe any of them.) Have a great weekend.
Toad Update 9/10/99 #2 15:48 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

Glad we went to the doctor today, no real chance to be tempted by this market.
We're gonna call it a day, er, a week before we hurt our little green necks.
Toad Update 9/10/99 #1 13:59 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

We're back by the pond. Doctor is fine.
Mrs Toad said "The market did a 'W' while we were gone. Does that mean anything?" Can anyone out there answer her, I sure can't. Where does she get these ideas?
Watching things again...
9/10/99 9:30
Looking for a big rally at opening, PPI numbers making people happy.
We'll be heading to the doctor's after 10 and will check in when we return.
Beeeeee careful...
9/9/99 Evenin9        OEX +2.15
Look at today's charts; a wave of buying in the pond just in the last hour took the OEX from -2.59 to +2.15 after several analysts gave higer ratings on the internet sector.

Wasn't sure if we should mention this... but, here goes:
Today was 9/9/99 AND it just happens that our page counter hit 99999 today - coincidence????   I THINK NOT!
(We forget when we reset the counter - oh, yeah - it was 99999 hits ago...)

Even though Mrs. Toad and I have Dr's appointments, it will still be BAGEL time and it's still your turn to bring them. Cyber Bagels courtesy of Bagels for All     See you for a minute in the morning and we will be back in the afternoon...
Toad Update 9/9/99 #2 15:32 Email, ICQ, Pagers & Cell Phones

We are FLAT cause we dodged a bullet, considered the Sept 710 puts (OEZUB) again - but the short spurt downward was tooooooo fast for a Toad to catch.
Here by the pond watching this crazy market.
p.s. We have a Dr.s appointment in the morning. So, we will get up, eat our bagels, check the market and head to the Dr's office. Should be back by 1:30. Don't do anything a Toad wouldn't.
Toad Update 9/9/99 #1 11:32 EMAIL and ICQ
Still by the side of the pond, watching. It's been UP and DOWN so far today.
    Announcement:
    Toad Talk has been added to the ABS Live site at:    http://www.abslive.com/mainabs.html     We are listed under "ABS Wisemen" -
    I guess that would be ABS Wisetoad...

9/9/99 9:30
We are ready for 9/9/99/9999999999999999999999999999999999    and we don't expect any problems    9999999999999999999999999999     just because the date is all nines....    99999999999999999999999     stay tuned...
999999999

9/8/99 Evening         OEX -3.71
WOW, didn't expect the market to turn around so fast, just knew we wanted out. We really thought they were going to hit $13 or maybe $14 as soon as we hopped out - were just uncomfortable staying in.
We had a bunch of opportunities to get out with a buck and that's where I was going to set the sell ($12) after we sent out Update #3, but then the indicators started going our way and I left the sell at $13, until we lowered it to 12 3/4 and got out.
See you by the pond in the morning.
Toad Update 9/8/99 #4 15:34 EMAIL and ICQ
I'm out of the Sept 710 puts (OEZUB) at $12 3/4.
Watch those suckers hit $13 now! I'm FLAT for the day.
Toad Update 9/8/99 #3 14:40 EMAIL and ICQ
I know this is redundant to tell you this, but we are planning to hop out TODAY.
Toad Update 9/8/99 #2 13:48 EMAIL and ICQ
We just chased the Sept 710 puts - from 8 1/2 to 11 and we hopped into 10 contracts of the Sept 710 puts (OEZUB) at 11.
We will keep a CLOSE eye on these suckers and will let you know when we hop out.
Toad Update 9/8/99 #1 12:04 EMAIL and ICQ
Dr. G is about to speak, but is not expected to say anything about the market - THAT's why the market is going up.
The D's are still leading the A's by 15 to 11. Abby Joseph says the market is going UP.
Talk about some good reasons to stay flat for now and keep watching the pond. Gonna have some lunch.
9/8/99 9:30
Looks like a down day on open PLUS Dr. G and Treas. Secy. are both speaking today. Stay tuned...
9/7/99 Evening         OEX -2.52
Interesting day, so everyone is NOT back from vacation... hey, we were here watching the pond. See you in the morning.
Toad Update 9/7/99 #2 15:47 EMAIL and ICQ
Yes, we are still glad we are FLAT.
The puts we were considering when the market was moving DOWN don't look too good right now. CNBC says we have unusually light volume for the day after Labor Day.
Staying by the side of the pond. OK, we were really looking at the 710 puts.... at 8 1/2 or 9. They are currently running around 8 5/8. Hmmmm.... good Toad.
See you in the morning.
9/7/99 13:55
Yes, Toad Talk© has been updated. Check it out.
Toad Update 9/7/99 #1 13:24 EMAIL and ICQ
Still FLAT and we should be with this market today. We will keep an eye on it in case we get any opportunities today.
Meanwhile, you can go to the site and listen to Toad Talk for this week.
9/7/99 9:30
Good Tuesday morning! Hope you had a great weekend, we are sitting here watching the pond, stay tuned...
9/5/99 Sunday

We are UP $46,787 YTD and that's + 212 % this year!

On this Labor Day weekend, we have some Free Trial Toadsters who will drop off the list - those poor folks will be "Toadless" if they don't subscribe. See the rest of you here by the pond Tuesday morning.
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Toad Update 9/3/99 #3 15:28 EMAIL and ICQ
Well it looks like most of the traders went home early today, and gee, we are already at home..
Have a SAFE and happy Labor Day - see you by the pond on Tuesday.
Don't forget to register early and often for the Toad on the Road!
Toad Update 9/3/99 #2 13:13 EMAIL and ICQ
Tempting, but we didn't bite.
OK, we looked at the Sep 710 calls (OEZIR) at $12 and didn't hop in. Guess what - they are now running 11 X 11 3/8 (Bid Ask) - glad to be flat.
A/D still big time toward the A's. Hmmmmm.... Look at the TICK, it just hit +2.
Toad Update 9/3/99 #1 11:31 EMAIL and ICQ
Yep, that was a Bear Trap!
We are still flat, the rapid climb this morning was built into the opening option prices.
We are FLAT and watching the pond.
9/3/99 9:30
Let's go the other way today! That was a classic Bear Trap, hope you didn't get caught. That's why we were FLAT toads, stay tuned...
9/2/99 Evening
It's Feeding Time!     Jaguars     The Jaguars are playing in Texas Stadium tonight! They are over there looking for some Texas Bar-B-Que! Glad preseason is soon over.

See you here in the morning and don't forget, it's YOUR TURN to bring the bagels! Cyber Bagels courtesy of Bagels for All
Toad Update 9/2/99 #2 14:53 EMAIL and ICQ
No way this little green toad is going to be caught in a BEAR trap today. With the employment report due out tomorrow, no telling what's going to happen the rest of today. We'll just stay FLAT and happy until we see what happens tomorrow.
Toad Update 9/2/99 #1 11:52 EMAIL and ICQ
Did someone say INTEREST RATE?? Not a good opening today - heck of a drop. Employment report tomorrow and ..... who knows. Watching the pond and still flat.
9/2/99 9:35
Good morning. All gloom and doom talk on CNBC based on some Fed comments. Glad it's sunny here by the pond...
9/1/99 Evening
Not much of a start for September - a little up, a little down. Reminds us of hurricane season at the beach - swells up, swells down. Not looking for much to happen the rest of the week as it is the last BIG opportunity for a vacation.

Mrs. Toad commented that the trading floor looked empty today - maybe everyone is getting an early start. After the 80 million shares trading in the last 6 minutes yesterday, volume would seem low today. Signals were all in our favor today for staying FLAT so that's what we did. See you tomorrow by the pond...
Toad Update 9/1/99 #2 14:57 EMAIL and ICQ
Looks like we won't be trading the first day of September.
The signals have been telling us... well, they have been telling us.... STAY FLAT!
Toad Update 9/1/99 #1 13:26 EMAIL and ICQ
You know we are conservative Toads, and we haven't liked the signals today.
Still by the pond watching, but don't like the way the market is moving.
9/1/99 9:25
Happy September! Not gonna mention anything about the market this morning.     OK, I will...     GLOBEX is UP and that usually means the market is headed UP. BUT - who knows?? Stay tuned...
8/31/99 Evening
That's about it for August. Just when we were feeling pretty good about this month, we looked back at last August when we were up $22,326 in one month!     RIBBITT! See you in the morning.
Toad Update 8/31/99 #3 14:02 EMAIL and ICQ
We are out of the Sep 690 puts (OEYUR) at 13 3/4.
We missed it when it was hitting 15 - urp.
Will let you know when we hop into the pond again.
Toad Update 8/31/99 #2 13:26 EMAIL and ICQ
Looks like it wants to go against us - and we had our sell set too high.
Will lower it and try to get out if the A/D and the rest of the numbers keep moving in the up direction.
Will let you know when we get out.
Toad Update 8/31/99 #1 12:16 EMAIL and ICQ
We just hopped into 10 contracts of the Sep 690 puts (OEYUR) at 13 1/4.
Will let you know when we hop out.
8/31/99 9:40
Looks like the market wants to go up today, aren't you glad we didn't hold over those puts? Stay tuned...
8/30/99 Evening
Yep, that was a great example of TOAD +10 today. We hopped in at 12 and it promptly went against us - saw it dropped as low as $11 and we did consider picking up 5 more contracts. SCW - maybe we weren't THAT sure.
Then, when we hopped out at 14 1/2, well... it hit 15 1/2 and finished the day at 14 3/4.     You know this is NOT complaining, because we don't complain whenever we make money! Green is our favorite color.
See you by the pond in the morning.

p.s. Mrs. Toad asked me if I'd like to go back to Napa Valley in October, we still have plenty of wine from our trip, but we do have a BUNCH of California Toadsters who missed the last Toad on the Road - let us know if you are interested.
  Daytrader Toad on the Road


Click here to find out more... Training on the ROAD!
Toad Update 8/30/99 #3 15:24 EMAIL and ICQ
I'm outta the Sep 700 puts (OEZUT) at 14 1/2.
I'm going to pretend that they DIDN'T hit 15 after I hopped out.     Is it me?
Toad Update 8/30/99 #2 15:02 EMAIL and ICQ
I know this is redundant to tell you this, but we are getting out today. Not going to hold over.
Will let you know when we get hit and exit.
Toad Update 8/30/99 #1 12:44 EMAIL and ICQ
Just hopped into 5 contracts of the Sept 700 puts (OEZUT) at $12.
Will let you know when we hop out.
Also Toad Talk has been updated 8/30/99.
8/30/99 12:30
Toad Talk has been updated. Check it out.
8/30/99 9:30
Good morning, spent the weekend keeping our eye on the hurricane which never got to our pond, but it is hitting our friends in the Carolinas. Looks like the market is set to go up today, stay tuned...
8/28/99 Saturday

We are UP $45,170 YTD and that's + 205 % this year!

Some of our Free Trial Toadsters will drop off the list this weekend - they will be "Toadless" if they don't subscribe. See the rest of you here by the pond Monday morning.
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Toad Update 8/27/99 #4 15:56 EMAIL and ICQ
I'm outta the Sep 710 puts (OEZUB) at 13 3/8.    Changed my sell so many times I didn't even know how much I was asking....
A FLAT Toad for the weekend!        Have a great one.
Toad Update 8/27/99 #3 15:18 EMAIL and ICQ
If this doesn't hit 13 1/2 soon, I'm going to change my sell to $13 or so to get out before the weekend starts.
Toad Update 8/27/99 #2 14:21 EMAIL and ICQ
Just hopped into those Sep 710 puts (OEZUB) at 11 1/2.
Will let you know when we hop out.
Toad Update 8/27/99 #1 11:52 EMAIL and ICQ
Chased, but didn't catch the Aug 710 puts (OEZUB) - hmmm.
Right now, I'm happy we didn't get in. Let's see...
8/27/99 9:30
Bagels are great this morning and we are watching the pond. Stay tuned...
8/26/99 Later in the Evening
Jaguars WON!

8/26/99 Evening
It's Jaguars time!     Jaguars     We are headed to the Jaguars game tonight!

See you here in the morning and don't forget, it's YOUR TURN to bring the bagels! Cyber Bagels courtesy of Bagels for All
Toad Update 8/26/99 #4 15:30 EMAIL and ICQ
That's going to be it for today. We have a JAGUARS pre-season game tonight. If you get the Jaguars - Kansas City game on TV, look for us - you can't miss us, we are the two little, green Toads cheering for the Jaguars!
The OEZUD hit a high of 14 1/2 so far . . . and Mrs. Toad says we didn't hop out too early. Urp.
See you in the morning - remember it's BAGELS on Friday's.
Toad Update 8/26/99 #3 14:04 EMAIL and ICQ
I'm really happy for all of you. Especially the ones who ICQ'd that they made more than the Toad.... happy for you, happy for you.... er....ribbitt.
The option went against us (as usual) after we hopped in and then it continued to run after we hopped out - looks like we are chicken Toads, got out a little early.
Not complaining - it's nice on the bank of the pond.
Still watching.
Toad Update 8/26/99 #2 13:35 EMAIL and ICQ
I'm outta the Sep 720 puts (OEZUD) at $13.
Will let you know when we hop again.
Toad Update 8/26/99 #1 12:14 EMAIL and ICQ
We just hopped into 10 contracts of the Sep. 720 puts (OEZUD) at 11.
Let's see what the lunch-time crowd does, ready to hop out with one if need be.
Will let you know when we hop out.
8/26/99 9:30
Good morning, sitting by the pond; GLOBEX is flat... let's see what hoppens today.
8/25/99 Evening
Looks like we bounced off 711 and   s l o w l y   went up while the indicators said stay out - coulda dumped at 3:00. Said shoulda jumped at 3:20 - maybe.
Let's see, hold over and then.... NOPE.     See you in the morning.
Toad Update 8/25/99 #3 16:32 EMAIL and ICQ
Had we hopped into the 715 or 720 calls, they finished at or slightly below our entry price. Best to be out.
Frustrating day with the indicators saying it's a gonna go down and the market slowly creeping up since around 13:30.
All indications say it's the August factor...
Toad Update 8/25/99 #2 15:33 EMAIL and ICQ
Yes, it looked like we shoulda hopped in at 15:20 - pretty late in the trading day to get into the pond.
The advancers JUST now went ahead of the declining issues, but the calls are backing off again. Strange, strange market.
The two calls we woulda been serious about (715 and 720) are back down to where we woulda entered. Have I mentioned this a strange market??
Toad Update 8/25/99 #1 12:21 EMAIL and ICQ
Yep, the European markets and Globex said market was going UP.
Looks like a down day so far, we see some support around 711 - if we break that, it might really drop. We have been in a trading range the last hour.
Thought we liked the Sept 715 puts awhile ago, down now.
Still by the pond, watching.
8/25/99 9:30
Now the market wants to go UP, Durable Goods*   numbers were perceived as good news, rally in European market and GLOBEX is up - hold on.
    *(Durable Goods Orders are considered a leading indicator of manufacturing activity, and the market often moves on this report despite the volatility and large revisions that make it a less than perfect indicator.)

8/24/99 Evening
Surprise, surprise, surprise... not the Fed's announcement, but the market's reaction. Really expected to "ride the wave" as we have done successfully in the past, many times. Not today, as we said earlier, let's blame this on the August low volume.

Know one trader who has taken off until after Labor Day, not this one. See you at the pond in the morning.
Toad Update 8/24/99 #2 15:46 EMAIL and ICQ
It sure looks like ANY play would have been a mistake. We were tracking 3 puts and 3 calls up to the FOMC notice.
When it came out - the market hopped UP, DOWN, UP and then it's been sideways. ALL of the positions we considered are now DOWN - doesn't make any Toad sense.
In notes to Toadsters I speculated earlier today that it is due to the LOW volume.
Let's stay FLAT.
Toad Update 8/24/99 #1 14:06 EMAIL and ICQ
We will have an order READY for the FOMC announcement. Might be a QUICK ride and then hop out.
Let's get an indication and then hop - looks like a Sept 710 something.
Stay tuned...
8/24/99 9:35
This is the day! Let's get FOMC over with and get back to hopping! Stay tuned...
8/23/99 Evening
FOMC Tomorrow...      GATOR         Dr. G   See you in the morning...

Toad Update 8/23/99 #2 15:07 EMAIL and ICQ
We entered this trading range at 10:00 this morning and haven't broken out of it all day.
Dangerous waters in the pond right now - the LARGE GATOR (Dr. G) is looming on the horizon.
Keep the little green ones ($) safe and stay out of the pond today.
Toad Update 8/23/99 #1 13:05 EMAIL and ICQ
The market has convinced itself that the increase is going to be between 0 and .25. SO, if we know what is going to happen, let's BUY some stocks.
A/D is now running 15 to 11 the signals are not as positive as the market - hmmmm...     Sitting by the side of the pond and watching. Stay tuned.
Toad Talk© has been updated, go to the site and listen!
8/23/99 9:25
Good Monday morning, GLOBEX says the market is going UP. What will happen today with the FOMC on Tuesday? Are we still convinced the Fed will raise rates, is it "already built in"? Stay tuned and let's find out...

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